Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →91.0%
Porto
7.6%
Draw
1.4%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
3.07
Porto
vs
0.27
AVS
Markets
BTTS22.9%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
17.1%
2-0
16.7%
4-0
13.1%
1-0
10.6%
5-0
8.0%
3-1
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
0-0
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
1-1
3.2%
5-1
2.2%
0-1
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).