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19 Dec 2023 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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4.5%
Istanbulspor
13.8%
Draw
81.7%
Trabzonspor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.71

Istanbulspor

vs
3.00

Trabzonspor

Markets

BTTS49.5%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.571.5%
Over 3.550.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.1%
0-3
11.1%
0-4
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
6.5%
0-1
6.1%
1-4
5.9%
0-5
5.0%
0-0
3.8%
1-5
3.5%
2-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).