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23 Nov 2025 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.0%
Göztepe
45.0%
Draw
20.0%
Kocaelispor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Göztepe

vs
0.53

Kocaelispor

Markets

BTTS25.1%
Over 0.570.2%
Over 1.540.5%
Over 2.514.5%
Over 3.54.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
29.8%
1-0
18.2%
1-1
14.0%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
4.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-2
3.0%
3-0
2.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
0-3
0.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).