Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.8%
Hamburg
23.7%
Draw
11.5%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Hamburg
vs
0.61
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
2-0
14.5%
1-1
10.7%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).