Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.1%
Ferrol
31.1%
Draw
35.8%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Ferrol
vs
1.00
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.557.7%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
0-0
14.2%
1-0
13.7%
1-1
13.4%
0-2
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).