Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.0%
Exeter
23.7%
Draw
18.3%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Exeter
vs
0.78
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).