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AHT: 12CSV

10 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.8%
Dorking
26.7%
Draw
44.5%
Halifax

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Dorking

vs
1.59

Halifax

Markets

BTTS57.5%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.4%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).