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05 Oct 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.9%
Rubin Kazan
29.9%
Draw
21.2%
Akhmat Grozny

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Rubin Kazan

vs
0.86

Akhmat Grozny

Markets

BTTS45.5%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).