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Lille

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AHT: 00CSV

01 Apr 2018

Amiens

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.6%
Lille
24.9%
Draw
21.4%
Amiens

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Lille

vs
0.82

Amiens

Markets

BTTS42.7%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
11.0%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.8%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).