Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.2%
Burton
22.6%
Draw
22.3%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Burton
vs
0.93
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
6.6%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).