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30 Aug 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.1%
Stuttgart
20.7%
Draw
16.2%
M'gladbach

Expected Goals (xG)

2.22

Stuttgart

vs
1.05

M'gladbach

Markets

BTTS58.7%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
3-0
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
0-0
4.5%
4-1
4.0%
4-0
3.8%
3-2
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).