Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.3%
Udinese
22.4%
Draw
16.3%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Udinese
vs
0.79
Monza
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).