Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Sheffield Weds
31.5%
Draw
47.1%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.26
Oxford
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.7%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
4.8%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).