Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.1%
Mantova
27.2%
Draw
30.7%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Mantova
vs
1.29
Empoli
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
0-0
7.0%
2-0
7.0%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).