Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.8%
Baltika Kaliningrad
24.6%
Draw
5.6%
Orenburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Baltika Kaliningrad
vs
0.30
Orenburg
Markets
BTTS21.6%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.529.9%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
23.0%
2-0
19.2%
0-0
15.6%
3-0
10.3%
1-1
8.0%
2-1
5.8%
4-0
4.1%
0-1
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
5-0
1.3%
4-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).