Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Sochaux
22.1%
Draw
30.2%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Sochaux
vs
1.29
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.3%
0-2
4.2%
0-0
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).