Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.0%
Morecambe
28.4%
Draw
27.6%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Morecambe
vs
0.89
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).