Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Getafe
34.4%
Draw
19.6%
Deportivo Alavés
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Getafe
vs
0.57
Deportivo Alavés
Markets
BTTS28.7%
Over 0.579.8%
Over 1.548.5%
Over 2.522.1%
Over 3.58.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.3%
0-0
20.2%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-0
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
2-2
1.8%
4-0
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).