Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.6%
Barrow
23.6%
Draw
63.7%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Barrow
vs
1.83
Notts County
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
0-2
13.5%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.9%
0-3
8.2%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
4.7%
0-4
3.7%
2-1
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
1-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).