Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.1%
Almeria
25.3%
Draw
41.6%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Almeria
vs
1.53
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
0-2
6.7%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).