Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
QPR
29.4%
Draw
25.0%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
QPR
vs
0.96
Oxford
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).