Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.1%
Shrewsbury
19.3%
Draw
65.5%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Shrewsbury
vs
1.94
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.1%
0-3
8.0%
1-3
6.3%
1-0
6.0%
0-0
5.7%
2-1
3.9%
0-4
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).