Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.3%
Scunthorpe
17.4%
Draw
10.3%
Truro
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Scunthorpe
vs
0.86
Truro
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.565.1%
Over 3.543.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.0%
1-1
8.1%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).