Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.8%
Valladolid
26.4%
Draw
36.8%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Valladolid
vs
1.27
Albacete
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
10.1%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
0-0
7.7%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).