Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.9%
AFC Wimbledon
24.9%
Draw
20.2%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.80
Sutton
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.4%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).