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DHT: 01

15 Dec 2024 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.2%
Deportivo Alavés
31.5%
Draw
32.3%
Crowborough Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Deportivo Alavés

vs
0.98

Crowborough Athletic

Markets

BTTS41.0%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
0-0
13.6%
1-0
13.4%
0-1
12.4%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).