Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Alanyaspor
40.0%
Draw
17.4%
Bodrumspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Alanyaspor
vs
0.58
Bodrumspor
Markets
BTTS31.2%
Over 0.576.8%
Over 1.550.6%
Over 2.521.7%
Over 3.57.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
23.2%
1-0
17.6%
1-1
14.9%
2-0
10.5%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-0
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
0-2
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
2-2
1.8%
4-0
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).