Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.4%
Mantova
26.6%
Draw
51.0%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Mantova
vs
1.67
Palermo
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
7.9%
2-1
6.0%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
0-3
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).