Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
Barnsley
30.8%
Draw
40.7%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Barnsley
vs
1.24
Preston
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
11.8%
1-0
9.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).