Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Trapani
29.9%
Draw
25.0%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Trapani
vs
0.96
Spal
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).