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03 Sept 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.2%
Stockport
26.5%
Draw
22.3%
AFC Wimbledon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Stockport

vs
0.81

AFC Wimbledon

Markets

BTTS41.1%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.9%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
10.7%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).