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AHT: 01CSV

01 Oct 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.1%
Shrewsbury
24.3%
Draw
54.6%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Shrewsbury

vs
1.49

Stockport

Markets

BTTS41.6%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-1
11.1%
0-0
9.2%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).