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04 Sept 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.9%
Hull
26.9%
Draw
38.2%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Hull

vs
1.47

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS58.9%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.4%
1-0
7.0%
0-0
6.7%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).