⚽ FootballData
3 – 3
DHT: 12CSV

17 Oct 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
50.6%
Paris SG
22.3%
Draw
27.1%
Strasbourg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Paris SG

vs
1.21

Strasbourg

Markets

BTTS57.2%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
4.6%
0-0
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).