Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →97.6%
Worthing
1.8%
Draw
0.6%
Dartford
Expected Goals (xG)
5.09
Worthing
vs
0.43
Dartford
Markets
BTTS34.4%
Over 0.599.6%
Over 1.597.3%
Over 2.591.1%
Over 3.579.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
5-0
11.6%
4-0
11.4%
3-0
9.0%
2-0
5.3%
5-1
5.0%
4-1
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
2-1
2.3%
1-0
2.1%
5-2
1.1%
4-2
1.0%
1-1
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).