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AHT: 01CSV

10 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.7%
York
17.6%
Draw
10.7%
Halifax

Expected Goals (xG)

2.48

York

vs
0.88

Halifax

Markets

BTTS54.2%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.8%
1-1
8.2%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
7.8%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
1-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).