Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.1%
Sheffield Wednesday
27.7%
Draw
58.3%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Sheffield Wednesday
vs
1.50
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS35.9%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.5%
0-2
13.7%
0-0
13.1%
1-1
11.9%
1-2
8.3%
0-3
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-1
3.3%
0-4
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
2-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).