Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.7%
AGF
10.9%
Draw
5.4%
Aalborg BK
Expected Goals (xG)
3.28
AGF
vs
0.82
Aalborg BK
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.591.9%
Over 2.577.6%
Over 3.558.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.8%
2-0
9.0%
4-0
8.0%
3-1
8.0%
2-1
7.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-0
5.3%
1-0
5.1%
1-1
4.8%
5-1
4.3%
3-2
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).