Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.3%
Bromsgrove Sporting
10.5%
Draw
3.2%
Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
2.93
Bromsgrove Sporting
vs
0.47
Nacional
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.3%
3-0
14.0%
4-0
10.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
5-0
6.0%
1-1
4.9%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
3.7%
5-1
2.8%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).