Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Sochaux
24.8%
Draw
19.1%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Sochaux
vs
0.71
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.7%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
10.9%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.1%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).