Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.1%
Palermo
20.7%
Draw
10.2%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Palermo
vs
0.69
Bari
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.5%
1-0
12.1%
1-1
9.8%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
0-1
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).