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13 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Oldham

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.7%
Oxford City
26.1%
Draw
55.3%
Oldham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Oxford City

vs
1.68

Oldham

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
0-1
12.0%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).