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05 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.6%
Trabzonspor
24.8%
Draw
55.6%
Galatasaray

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Trabzonspor

vs
2.17

Galatasaray

Markets

BTTS65.9%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.544.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.5%
0-0
5.5%
0-1
4.7%
2-3
4.4%
1-4
3.7%
0-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).