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09 Oct 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.0%
Elche
23.8%
Draw
16.2%
Andorra

Expected Goals (xG)

1.67

Elche

vs
0.73

Andorra

Markets

BTTS41.9%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.3%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.0%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).