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06 Apr 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.1%
Sheffield Wednesday
24.7%
Draw
56.2%
Leicester

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Sheffield Wednesday

vs
1.82

Leicester

Markets

BTTS53.2%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-0
7.0%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
5.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
2.9%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).