Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.8%
Thatcham Town
11.9%
Draw
6.3%
Braintree Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.80
Thatcham Town
vs
0.66
Braintree Town
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.567.2%
Over 3.545.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.3%
3-0
11.5%
1-0
9.0%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
5.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-0
4.5%
5-1
3.0%
0-0
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).