Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.8%
Hoffenheim
22.0%
Draw
19.2%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Hoffenheim
vs
1.12
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS59.8%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.540.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
0-0
4.7%
0-1
3.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).