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HHT: 11

07 Dec 2024 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.0%
Widzew Lodz
25.8%
Draw
23.2%
Stal Mielec

Expected Goals (xG)

1.72

Widzew Lodz

vs
1.10

Stal Mielec

Markets

BTTS55.7%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-0
5.1%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).