Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Dover Athletic
30.4%
Draw
44.4%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Dover Athletic
vs
1.31
Barrow
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
13.0%
0-0
11.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).