Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Everton
36.3%
Draw
21.8%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Everton
vs
0.69
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS34.0%
Over 0.580.6%
Over 1.553.5%
Over 2.525.2%
Over 3.59.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.4%
1-0
16.8%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
2-2
2.3%
1-3
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).